North Carolina
Men
-
Women
2013
-
2014 -
2015
Switch to All-time Team Page
Rank | Name | Grade | Rating |
31 |
Annie LeHardy |
JR |
19:39 |
50 |
Lianne Farber |
SR |
19:49 |
145 |
Caroline Alcorta |
FR |
20:14 |
168 |
Karley Rempel |
JR |
20:18 |
221 |
Elizabeth Whelan |
SO |
20:27 |
305 |
Hannah Christen |
FR |
20:37 |
742 |
Josette Norris |
FR |
21:15 |
1,210 |
Emma Astrike-Davis |
FR |
21:46 |
2,156 |
Mattie Webb |
JR |
22:43 |
|
National Champion |
0.0% |
Top 5 at Nationals |
6.1% |
Top 10 at Nationals |
34.5% |
Top 20 at Nationals |
85.7% |
Regional Champion |
37.2% |
Top 5 in Regional |
99.9% |
Top 10 in Regional |
100.0% |
Top 20 in Regional |
100.0% |
|
Race Performance Ratings
Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.
Race | Date | Team Rating | |
Annie LeHardy |
Lianne Farber |
Caroline Alcorta |
Karley Rempel |
Elizabeth Whelan |
Hannah Christen |
Josette Norris |
Emma Astrike-Davis |
Mattie Webb |
Roy Griak Invitational |
09/27 |
391 |
19:32 |
19:27 |
19:58 |
20:25 |
20:23 |
21:20 |
20:51 |
|
|
Wisconsin adidas Invitational |
10/17 |
497 |
19:45 |
19:38 |
20:01 |
20:21 |
|
20:55 |
21:26 |
21:29 |
|
ACC Championships |
10/31 |
355 |
19:37 |
19:45 |
20:10 |
19:53 |
20:13 |
20:21 |
21:09 |
21:53 |
22:43 |
3 Stripe Invite |
11/08 |
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22:02 |
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Southeast Region Championships |
11/14 |
533 |
19:39 |
19:58 |
20:33 |
20:21 |
20:58 |
20:23 |
21:18 |
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|
NCAA Championship |
11/22 |
654 |
19:48 |
20:32 |
20:32 |
20:28 |
20:27 |
20:30 |
21:32 |
|
|
NCAA Tournament Simulation
Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.
Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.
Team Results
| Advances to Round | Ave Finish | Ave Score |
Finishing Place |
1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
26 |
27 |
28 |
29 |
30 |
31 |
NCAA Championship |
99.4% |
13.6 |
394 |
0.0 |
0.3 |
1.0 |
2.0 |
2.8 |
4.1 |
5.2 |
5.8 |
6.4 |
6.8 |
6.2 |
6.5 |
5.8 |
6.4 |
5.4 |
5.5 |
4.5 |
4.2 |
3.4 |
3.2 |
2.5 |
2.2 |
2.0 |
1.8 |
1.5 |
1.0 |
0.7 |
0.9 |
0.6 |
0.3 |
0.2 |
Region Championship |
100% |
2.1 |
79 |
37.2 |
28.6 |
21.2 |
10.8 |
2.1 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
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Individual Results
NCAA Championship | Advances to Round | Ave Finish |
Finishing Place |
---|
1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
Annie LeHardy |
100% |
36.6 |
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|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.6 |
0.6 |
0.8 |
0.8 |
1.1 |
1.1 |
1.3 |
1.6 |
1.8 |
2.2 |
1.9 |
2.0 |
1.6 |
2.3 |
2.0 |
2.0 |
2.2 |
Lianne Farber |
99.8% |
54.9 |
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0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.4 |
0.4 |
0.6 |
0.7 |
0.6 |
0.7 |
0.5 |
0.7 |
1.0 |
1.1 |
Caroline Alcorta |
99.4% |
123.7 |
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0.0 |
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0.0 |
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0.0 |
0.0 |
Karley Rempel |
99.4% |
134.9 |
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Elizabeth Whelan |
99.4% |
160.2 |
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Hannah Christen |
99.4% |
183.6 |
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Josette Norris |
99.4% |
242.3 |
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Regional | Ave Finish |
Finishing Place |
1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
Annie LeHardy |
2.0 |
32.2 |
18.4 |
12.8 |
9.2 |
7.2 |
5.8 |
3.8 |
2.9 |
2.3 |
1.1 |
1.5 |
0.9 |
0.6 |
0.4 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
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Lianne Farber |
4.8 |
7.7 |
13.6 |
10.8 |
10.9 |
8.9 |
7.9 |
7.7 |
6.3 |
5.8 |
4.5 |
3.9 |
2.8 |
2.1 |
1.5 |
1.4 |
1.2 |
0.8 |
0.6 |
0.5 |
0.1 |
0.3 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
Caroline Alcorta |
17.1 |
|
0.0 |
0.6 |
0.9 |
1.2 |
1.5 |
2.2 |
2.5 |
3.2 |
3.1 |
4.5 |
4.2 |
5.3 |
5.3 |
5.0 |
4.7 |
5.0 |
5.0 |
4.9 |
4.2 |
3.6 |
3.2 |
3.0 |
2.7 |
2.9 |
Karley Rempel |
20.3 |
|
0.0 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.5 |
0.8 |
1.3 |
1.6 |
1.9 |
2.5 |
2.9 |
3.1 |
4.0 |
4.1 |
4.1 |
4.0 |
4.7 |
4.1 |
4.5 |
4.2 |
3.9 |
4.3 |
4.2 |
3.4 |
3.2 |
Elizabeth Whelan |
28.0 |
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0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.3 |
0.5 |
0.8 |
0.9 |
1.0 |
1.5 |
1.6 |
2.1 |
2.4 |
2.6 |
2.7 |
3.2 |
3.2 |
3.2 |
3.5 |
3.6 |
3.1 |
3.1 |
Hannah Christen |
37.8 |
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0.0 |
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0.1 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.4 |
0.4 |
0.7 |
0.8 |
1.1 |
0.9 |
1.4 |
1.8 |
1.8 |
1.8 |
1.6 |
1.8 |
Josette Norris |
80.7 |
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0.0 |
NCAA Championship Selection Detail
|
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Total |
|
Region Finish |
Chance of Finishing |
Chance of Advancing |
Auto |
|
At Large Selection |
|
No Adv |
Auto |
At Large |
Region Finish |
1 |
2 |
1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
1 |
37.2% |
100.0% |
37.2 |
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37.2 |
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1 |
2 |
28.6% |
100.0% |
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28.6 |
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28.6 |
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2 |
3 |
21.2% |
100.0% |
| |
17.0 |
3.6 |
0.6 |
0.0 |
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21.2 |
3 |
4 |
10.8% |
99.6% |
| |
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4.8 |
1.5 |
0.7 |
0.3 |
0.7 |
0.6 |
0.7 |
0.4 |
0.4 |
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
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10.8 |
4 |
5 |
2.1% |
78.8% |
| |
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0.3 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.4 |
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1.6 |
5 |
6 |
0.1% |
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0.1 |
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6 |
7 |
0.0% |
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0.0 |
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7 |
8 |
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8 |
9 |
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9 |
10 |
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10 |
11 |
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11 |
12 |
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12 |
13 |
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13 |
14 |
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14 |
15 |
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15 |
16 |
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16 |
17 |
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17 |
18 |
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18 |
19 |
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19 |
20 |
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20 |
21 |
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21 |
22 |
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22 |
23 |
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23 |
24 |
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24 |
25 |
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25 |
26 |
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26 |
27 |
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27 |
28 |
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28 |
29 |
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29 |
30 |
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30 |
31 |
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31 |
32 |
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32 |
33 |
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33 |
34 |
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34 |
35 |
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35 |
36 |
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36 |
37 |
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37 |
38 |
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38 |
39 |
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39 |
40 |
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40 |
41 |
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41 |
42 |
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42 |
43 |
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43 |
44 |
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44 |
45 |
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45 |
46 |
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46 |
47 |
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47 |
48 |
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48 |
49 |
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49 |
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Total |
100% |
99.4% |
37.2 |
28.6 |
17.0 |
8.4 |
2.3 |
0.9 |
0.4 |
0.8 |
0.8 |
0.9 |
0.6 |
0.6 |
0.4 |
0.4 |
0.2 |
0.6 |
65.8 |
33.7 |
Points
At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection.
Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.
Received By Beating | Chance Received | Average If >0 | Average |
Florida State |
100.0% |
1.0 |
1.0 |
Vanderbilt |
99.9% |
1.0 |
1.0 |
Virginia |
98.7% |
1.0 |
1.0 |
Minnesota |
98.1% |
2.0 |
2.0 |
Boise State |
97.6% |
2.0 |
2.0 |
Baylor |
96.5% |
1.0 |
1.0 |
Washington |
90.1% |
1.0 |
0.9 |
North Carolina St. |
88.8% |
1.0 |
0.9 |
Iona |
84.9% |
1.0 |
0.8 |
Ohio State |
84.5% |
1.0 |
0.8 |
Syracuse |
82.3% |
2.0 |
1.6 |
Toledo |
67.0% |
1.0 |
0.7 |
Arizona State |
64.7% |
2.0 |
1.3 |
UCLA |
62.5% |
1.0 |
0.6 |
Boston College |
55.0% |
2.0 |
1.1 |
Providence |
53.2% |
1.0 |
0.5 |
William and Mary |
52.5% |
1.0 |
0.5 |
Notre Dame |
49.0% |
2.0 |
1.0 |
Dartmouth |
48.8% |
1.0 |
0.5 |
BYU |
42.7% |
2.0 |
0.9 |
SMU |
18.3% |
1.0 |
0.2 |
Virginia Tech |
4.1% |
1.0 |
0.0 |
Columbia |
3.0% |
1.0 |
0.0 |
Missouri |
2.0% |
1.0 |
0.0 |
Cornell |
1.3% |
1.0 |
0.0 |
Harvard |
1.1% |
1.0 |
0.0 |
California |
0.7% |
1.0 |
0.0 |
Florida |
0.7% |
1.0 |
0.0 |
Indiana |
0.4% |
1.0 |
0.0 |
Illinois |
0.1% |
1.0 |
0.0 |
Texas A&M |
0.1% |
2.0 |
0.0 |
Colorado St. |
0.0% |
1.0 |
0.0 |
Weber State |
0.0% |
2.0 |
0.0 |
South Dakota |
0.0% |
1.0 |
0.0 |
Butler |
0.0% |
1.0 |
0.0 |
|
Total |
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20.4 |
|
Minimum |
|
|
12.0 |
Maximum |
|
|
26.0 |